Kwikota yokuqala, imarike ye-aniline yanyuka yaya phezulu, kwaye ixabiso le-avareji lenyanga liye landa ngokuthe ngcembe. Ukuthatha imarike yaseNyakatho yeChina njengomzekelo, indawo ephantsi kakhulu kwikota yabonakala ngoJanuwari, ngexabiso kwi-9550 yuan / ton, kwaye indawo ephezulu yabonakala ngoMatshi, ngexabiso kwi-13300 yuan / ton, kunye nokwahlukana kwexabiso phakathi phezulu naphantsi kwaba 3750 yuan/ton. Eyona nto ilungileyo yokunyuka ukusuka ngoJanuwari ukuya kuMatshi ivela kwicala lokubonelela kunye nemfuno. Kwelinye icala, kwikota yokuqala, iifektri ezinkulu zasekhaya ziye zalungiswa ngokumandla kwaye noluhlu lwemizi-mveliso lwaluphantsi. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukubuyiswa kweemfuno ze-terminal emva koMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo kuvelise inkxaso efanelekileyo kwimarike.

Ukusebenza konikezelo kuqhubekile inkxaso eqinile aniline amaxabiso phezulu

Kwikota yokuqala, ukusebenza kwentengiso ye-aniline kuyaqhubeka kuqina ukutyhala ixabiso. Emva koSuku loNyaka oMtsha, imfuno yesitokhwe esezantsi yangaphambi kweholide yonyuka, unikezelo kunye necala lemfuno elincomekayo, ixabiso laqala ukubonakala liphantsi. Emva koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo, ukulungiswa kwezixhobo ze-aniline zasekhaya kwanda. NgoFebruwari, imveliso ye-aniline yangaphakathi iphelele kwi-62.05%, ihle nge-15.05 yepesenti yamanqaku ukusuka ngoJanuwari. Emva kokungena ngoMatshi, imfuno ye-terminal ibuyele kakuhle. Nangona umthwalo wemizi-mveliso ubuyele kwi-74.15%, icala lobonelelo kunye nemfuno lisabonelela ngenkxaso ebonakalayo kwimarike, kwaye ixabiso langaphakathi le-aniline linyuke ngakumbi ngoMatshi. Ukususela ngo-Matshi 31, ixabiso lemarike eliqhelekileyo le-aniline eNyakatho ye-China 13250 yuan / ton, xa kuthelekiswa ne-9650 yuan / ton ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari, ukunyuka okunyukayo kwe-3600 yuan / ton, ukwanda kwe-37.3%.

Umthamo omtsha osezantsi ukhupha unikezelo lweaniline lusaqhubeka luqina

Kwikota yokuqala ka-2023, imveliso ye-aniline yasekhaya yayimalunga neetoni ezingama-754,100, inyuke nge-8.3% kwikota kunye ne-1.48% unyaka nonyaka. Ngaphandle kokunyuka konikezelo, iyunithi ye-MDI ye-400,000-toni / ngonyaka we-MDI ye-Wanhua kwiPhondo elisezantsi laseFujian lafakwa ekusebenzeni ngoDisemba 2022, ngokuthe ngcembe yajika yaba yinto eqhelekileyo emva kwekota yokuqala. Okwangoku, i-70,000-ton / year unit ye-cyclohexylamine ye-Wanhua e-Yantai yaqala ukusebenza kwetyala ngo-Matshi. Emva kokuba umthamo omtsha wemveliso uqalisiwe, imfuno yezinto ezikrwada ze-aniline kumazantsi omlambo yanda kakhulu. Isiphumo kwikota yokuqala yemarike ye-aniline iyonke isekwimeko yokubonelela, kwaye ke ube nenkxaso eqinileyo yexabiso.

Umothuko wexabiso womelele kwikota yokuqala ingeniso yoshishino lweaniline iye yanda kancinci kancinci

Ingeniso ye-aniline yekota yokuqala ibonise ukunyuka okuthe chu. Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuMatshi, uthatha i-East China njengomzekelo, i-avareji yengeniso ye-aniline yasekhaya yayiyi-2,404 yuan / ton, phantsi kwe-20.87% ngenyanga ngenyanga kunye ne-21.97% ngonyaka. Kwikota yokuqala, ngenxa yokubonelela okuqinileyo kwimarike ye-aniline yasekhaya, ixabiso lalixhaswa ngokucacileyo ngumsantsa wamaxabiso okwandisa kunye neemveliso ezisezantsi, kwaye inzuzo yoshishino yalungiswa ngokuthe ngcembe. Njengoko imfuno yemarike yasekhaya kunye nokuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-aniline kwikota yokuqala kunye nekota yesine ka-2022 yayilungile, inzuzo yoshishino inyuke kakhulu. Ke ngoko, inzuzo ye-aniline kwikota yokuqala ka-2023 yehlile ngokulandelelana.

Imfuno yasekhaya iye yanda kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kwehlile kwikota yokuqala

Ngokwedatha yecustom kunye noqikelelo lolwazi lweZhuo Chuang, ukuthunyelwa kwe-aniline yasekhaya eyongezelelweyo kwikota yokuqala ye-2023 kulindeleke ukuba ibe malunga neetoni ezingama-40,000, okanye ihle nge-1.3% ukusuka kwikota yangaphambili, okanye ihle i-53.97% unyaka nonyaka. Nangona imveliso ye-aniline yasekhaya igcine umkhuba okhulayo kwikota yokuqala, ukuthunyelwa kwe-aniline kumazwe angaphandle kwikota yokuqala kunokubonisa ukuhla okuncinci ukusuka kwikota edlulileyo ngenxa yokunyuka okucacileyo kwemfuno yangaphakathi kwaye akukho nzuzo icacileyo kwixabiso lemarike yokuthumela ngaphandle. Xa kuthelekiswa nekota yokuqala ye-2022, ngenxa yokunyuka okucacileyo kwezinto eziluhlaza eYurophu kwikota yokuqala ye-2022, uxinzelelo lweendleko zabavelisi be-aniline basekhaya luye lwanda, kwaye imfuno yokungenisa i-aniline evela e-China yanda kakhulu. Phantsi koncedo olucacileyo lwexabiso lokuthumela ngaphandle, abavelisi basekhaya be-aniline batyekele kakhulu ekuthengiseni ngaphandle. Ngokukhutshwa komthamo omtsha wemveliso esezantsi eTshayina, indlela yokubonelela ngeendawo zasekhaya ze-aniline iya kubonakala ngakumbi. Kulindeleke ukuba imakethi yokuthumela ngaphandle kwikota yesibini isenokugcina inqanaba elisezantsi noko kubonelelwa ngokulinganiselweyo.

Ikota yesibini ilindeleke ukusebenza komothuko woluhlu olubuthathaka

Kwikota yesibini, imarike ye-aniline kulindeleke ukuba ihambe. Ekupheleni kuka-Matshi ixabiso aniline lafikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu, ezantsi wafumana ukungquzulana kwempahla, imarike umngcipheko ophezulu wanda ngo-Epreli waqala ukuhla ngokukhawuleza. Ngexesha elifutshane kunye nexesha eliphakathi, iyunithi ye-aniline iye yaqala ngokuthe ngcembe imveliso kwaye iqhuba kufuphi nomthwalo opheleleyo, kwaye icala lokubonelela ngemarike lithanda ukukhululeka. Nangona i-Huatai iceba ukwenza ukuhlolwa kunye nokulungiswa ngo-Aprili, i-Fuqiang kunye ne-Jinling isicwangciso sokuqhuba ukuhlolwa kunye nokulungiswa ngoMeyi, emva koMeyi, ishishini le-terminal tayara lingena kwi-off-season, elinciphisa kakhulu imfuno yabancedisi berabha ezantsi kwe-aniline, kunye necala lokubonelela kunye nemfuno yemarike ye-aniline iya kuba buthathaka ngokuthe ngcembe. Ukusuka kwindlela yezinto ezisetyenziswayo, nangona ixabiso le-benzene kunye ne-nitric acid lisenamandla ngokwentelekiso, kodwa ngenxa yokuba inzuzo yoshishino lwe-aniline yangoku isetyebile, ngoko ke icala leendleko zokunyusa okuhle okanye okulinganiselweyo. Ngokubanzi, kwikota yesibini, phantsi kwemvelaphi yonikezelo olubuthathaka kunye nemfuno, imarike ye-aniline yasekhaya inokuqhuba lonke uluhlu lwe-oscillations.