iindaba

Ngo-2023, ukuguquguquka kwexabiso lemarike ye-diesel yaseChina, ukunyuka okubini okubalulekileyo kuye kwaphakama kwizinto ezilindelekileyo, kunokuba ixesha eliphakamileyo, ukususela nge-11 kaDisemba, ixabiso lemakethi ye-diesel ye-7590 yuan / ton, ukunyuka kwe-0.9% ukususela ekuqaleni konyaka, phantsi kwe-5.85 I-% ngonyaka-ngonyaka, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka le-7440 yuan / itoni, phantsi kwe-8.3% unyaka nonyaka. Ukusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lonyaka le-Brent le-82.42 yeedola zase-US / umgqomo, phantsi kwe-17.57%, ukuhla kwe-oyile ekrwada kuphezulu kakhulu kunedizili, kwaye icala lokubonelela kunye nemfuno lixhasa ixabiso ledizili elingcono kunelikrwada. ioli.

Ukusasazeka kwexabiso le-diesel cracker ka-2023 lisephezulu kunexesha elifanayo kulo nyaka uphelileyo ixesha elininzi, ukuqala ngoSeptemba ngokuhla kwamaxabiso emarike, ukusasazeka kwexabiso le-cracker kwaqala ukuwa, inzuzo yokuthengisa ngokuchaseneyo, ukususela ngo-2023 imveliso ye-diesel yasekhaya kunye iingeniso zentengiso zihanjiswa njani? Liya kuguquka njani ikamva?

Kulo nyaka, ixabiso le-oyile ye-diesel yaqala ngamandla, ukuqala kwi-inventory ephantsi yokuqala konyaka, kunye nokulindela okuhle emva kokuphela kobhubhane, ukuvula i-overdraft ye-stock kwangaphambili, kwaye ke imfuno ingaphantsi kwe kulindeleke, ixabiso le-oyile ye-diesel lawa malunga ne-300 ye-yuan / toni ngo-Matshi, ukuhla kungaphezulu kwepetroli, ngenxa ye-stock ye-diesel yangaphambili i-inventory eninzi kwicala eliphezulu, kwaye ixabiso lehla xa i-middle and downstream ilahla iimpahla ezininzi. Ngo-Epreli, icala leendleko sesona sizathu siphambili sokuxhasa ukunyuka kwexabiso, i-OPEC + ukucuthwa kwemveliso eyongezelelweyo ngokukhawuleza kwanyusa amaxabiso eoli kumazwe ngamazwe ngaphezulu kwe-7%, umda wexabiso lemveliso yeoli esulungekisiweyo nayo yamkele ukonyuka okukhulu okungaphezulu kwe-500 yuan/toni. ngonyaka, ukuxhasa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso edizili, kodwa imfuno kade kunzima ukuxhasa ukunyuka kwaqala ukungena kwitshaneli ehlayo, iye yawa kwi-7060 yuan / ton ngoJuni 30. Ixabiso le-Shandong yokucokisa ezimeleyo yawela ngaphantsi kwe-7,000 yuan / ton. ngoJuni, kwaye ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lawela kwindawo ephantsi ye-6,722 yuan / ton ngoJuni 28. NgoJulayi, kunye nokusasazeka kwexabiso lokuqhekeka kwawela kwinqanaba eliqhelekileyo leminyaka elishumi, abahwebi baqala ukuvula izikhundla kwangaphambili, kwaye ixabiso lenyuka. ukuya ezantsi okulindelweyo, ngokunyuka ukuya kuthi ga kwi-739 yuan/toni phakathi kwenyanga. Ukususela ngo-Agasti ukuya kuSeptemba, ingqondo kunye neemfuno zixhasa ukuguquguquka okuphezulu kwamaxabiso eoli, ukususela ngo-Oktobha, ixabiso laqala ukuwa, kwaye ixabiso eliye laphakama kwangaphambili lawa ngaphambili. NgoNovemba, njengoko ixabiso lawela kwinqanaba leendleko zezinye izinto zokucoca, iindawo zokucoca zaqala ukunciphisa umthwalo, kwaye iinkampani eziphambili nazo zanciphisa isicwangciso sokuvelisa ngokwe-inventri yazo kunye nokulindela iimfuno. Imveliso yepetroli kunye nedizili iyonke ngoNovemba yayiyeyona iphantsi ngexesha elifanayo ukusukela ngo-2017, amaxabiso axhasayo, kunye neoyile ekrwada ehla nge-7.52 yeepesenti kunye nedizili phantsi kwe-3.6 ekhulwini. NgoDisemba, imveliso ye-diesel isalindeleke ukuba ibe yinto ephantsi kakhulu kwixesha elifanayo ukususela ngo-2017, kwaye kusekho inkxaso eqinile yamaxabiso.

Ukusukela ngo-2023, umahluko wexabiso eliphakathi lokuqhekeka kwedizili kwindawo yokucoca ezimeleyo yaseShandong yi-724 yuan/toni, inyuke nge-5.85% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo ngo-2022, unyaka ubonisa imeko ebuthathaka phambi kokuqina, isiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka siphezulu ngokusisiseko. kunexesha elifanayo kulo nyaka uphelileyo, uSeptemba waqala ukuhla ngaphezu kwenqanaba lonyaka odlulileyo, umkhwa uhluke kwixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo, ixesha eliphakamileyo lehla, i-off-season rose, eyahlukileyo kumthetho we-off-season kwiminyaka edlulileyo. .

Ukusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2023, i-avareji yengeniso yentengiso ye-oyile yedizili yaseTshayina yi-750 yuan/toni, yehle nge-6.08% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo ngo-2022, umkhwa uchasene nokusasazeka kwexabiso lokuqhekeka, kwaye ubonisa iimpawu zobuthathaka ekuqaleni. iikota ezintathu kwaye zinamandla kwikota yesine, kwaye intsingiselo yenzuzo yokuthengisa kwixesha elidlulileyo ibonisa indlela eyahlukileyo, ngokukodwa ngenxa yokwehla kwamaxabiso eoli ngexesha lokusetyenziswa, kunye neendleko zokuthenga izikhululo zegesi ziye zancipha.

Ukuqala kwenyanga kaDisemba, ixabiso le-dizeli lokukrazula linyuke ngokukhawuleza, laza lafikelela kwi-1013 yuan/toni nge-7 kaDisemba, ixabiso le-cracker elinyuka ngokukhawuleza lisasazeka kwixesha elingekhoyo lokusetyenziswa, ukuxinana kwemithombo yemithombo yemveliso ephantsi ye-oyile yedizili kunye ixabiso eliphezulu lomyalelo wenqanawa nalo labetha imfuno yokuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amashishini orhwebo, kunye nentengiselwano yomyalelo wenqanawa yancitshiswa kakhulu. Kwaye le nyanga yokunyuswa konikezelo kukhawulelwe ngezinto eziluhlaza, ukunyuka kunokuba kuncinci, nangona ezinye iindawo zokucoca eShandong zingasebenzisa inxalenye yesabelo sonyaka ozayo kwangaphambili, kodwa uxwebhu lwe-2024 oluvunyelweyo kulindeleke ukuba lukhutshwe ngaphambi kwe-25, i-supplement of eluhlaza. izinto zilinganiselwe kakhulu, kunye nokupholisa emantla kabukhali, imfuno kulindeleke ukuba iyancipha, ukungalingani phakathi konikezelo kunye nemfuno iya kulungiswa ngokuthe ngcembe, abanye abarhwebi baye baqala ukunciphisa ukusasazeka kokuqhekeka, i-Bearish phambili idizili. Kulindeleke ukuba ngoJanuwari kulo nyaka uzayo, njengoko ukunqongophala kwezinto zokucoca ekrwada kusonjululwe, ukubonelela kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke, kwaye ixabiso le-diesel kunye nokwahluka kwexabiso lokuqhekeka kucinezelwe ukuya kuthi ga kwinqanaba elithile, kwaye ukuhanjiswa kwenzuzo kuya kudluliselwa ngokuthe ngcembe isiphelo sokuthengisa.

 


Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-14-2023