Imakethi iyaqhubeka nokuthandabuza ukuphunyezwa kokunciphisa imveliso ngokuzithandela kwe-OPEC+, kwaye amaxabiso eoli yamazwe ngamazwe ehlile kangangeentsuku ezintandathu zokusebenza zilandelelana, kodwa ukwehla kuye kwancipha. Ukusukela nge-7 kaDisemba, i-WTI crude oil futures $69.34 / barrel, i-Brent crude oil futures $74.05 / barrel, zombini zehla zaya kwinqanaba eliphantsi ukusukela nge-28 kaJuni.

Amaxabiso eoyile ekrwada ngamazwe ngamazwe ehle kakhulu kule veki, ukusukela nge-7 kaDisemba, i-WTI crude oil futures yehle nge-10.94% ukusuka nge-29 kaNovemba, i-Brent crude oil futures yehle nge-10.89% kwixesha elifanayo. Emva kwentlanganiso ye-OPEC+, amathandabuzo emarike malunga nokuncitshiswa kwemveliso ngokuzithandela aqhubeke nokubila, nto leyo eyaba yinto ephambili ebangela ubunzima kumaxabiso eoyile. Okwesibini, uluhlu lweemveliso ezicociweyo eMelika luyanda, kwaye umbono wemfuno yepetroli uhlala uphantsi, ubeka uxinzelelo kumaxabiso eoyile. Ukongeza, nge-7 kaDisemba, i-United States ikhuphe idatha yezoqoqosho exutyiweyo, i-China Customs ikhuphe ukungeniswa kweoyile ekrwada kunye neminye idatha enxulumene nayo, uvavanyo lwemarike loqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nokusebenza kokubonelela kunye nemfuno, imeko yokulumka inyukile. Ngokukodwa:

Inani labantu baseMelika abafaka izicelo zezibonelelo zokungasebenzi linyuke kancinci kunoko bekulindelwe kwiveki ephelileyo njengoko imfuno yemisebenzi ipholile kwaye imakethi yabasebenzi iqhubeka nokuhla kancinci kancinci. Amabango okuqala ezibonelelo zokungasebenzi zikarhulumente anyuke nge-1,000 ukuya kwi-220,000 ehlengahlengisiweyo ngokwexesha lonyaka kwiveki ephele nge-2 kaDisemba, njengoko idatha yeSebe lezeMisebenzi ibonisile ngoLwesine. Oko kuthetha ukuba imakethi yabasebenzi iyacotha. Ingxelo ibonise ukuba bekukho amathuba emisebenzi ayi-1.34 kumntu ngamnye ongasebenziyo ngo-Okthobha, elona nqanaba liphantsi ukusukela ngo-Agasti 2021. Imfuno yabasebenzi iyaphola kunye noqoqosho, incitshiswe kukunyuka kwamazinga enzala. Ke ngoko, ukuqikelela kwe-Fed kokuphela kwalo mjikelo wokunyuka kwamazinga enzala kuphinde kwavela kwimarike yezemali, kwaye amathuba okunganyusi amazinga enzala ngoDisemba angaphezu kwama-97%, kwaye impembelelo yokunyuka kwamazinga enzala kumaxabiso eoyile iye yabuthathaka. Kodwa kwangaxeshanye, iinkxalabo malunga noqoqosho lwase-US kunye nemfuno ecothayo nazo ziye zanciphisa umoya worhwebo kwimarike yexesha elizayo.

Idatha yamva nje ye-EIA ekhutshwe kule veki ibonisa ukuba ngelixa ii-oyile ezikrwada zorhwebo zase-US ziphantsi, ioyile ekrwada yaseCushing, ipetroli, kunye ne-distillates zonke zikwimeko yokugcina. Kwiveki yomhla woku-1 kuDisemba, ii-oyile ezikrwada zaseCushing eziyi-29.551 yezigidi zeebhareli, ukonyuka kwe-6.60% ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo, ukunyuka kweeveki ezi-7 ezilandelelanayo. Ii-oyile zepetroli zinyuke iiveki ezintathu ezilandelelanayo ukuya kwi-223.604 yezigidi zeebhareli, ukunyuka kwe-5.42 yezigidi zeebhareli ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo, njengoko ukungeniswa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kunyuke kwaye ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwehla. Izabelo ze-distillate zinyuke kwiveki yesibini elandelelanayo ukuya kwi-1120.45 yezigidi zeebhareli, ukunyuka kwe-1.27 yezigidi zeebhareli ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo, njengoko imveliso inyuka kwaye ukungeniswa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kusanda. Imfuno embi yamafutha ixhalabisa imakethi, amaxabiso eoyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe ayaqhubeka nokuhla.

Emva koko imakethi elandelayo yeoyile ekrwada, icala lobonelelo: ukubanjwa kwentlanganiso ye-OPEC+ yikrele elintlangothi-mbini, nangona kungekho kukhuthazwa okucacileyo okuhle, kodwa imida kwicala lobonelelo isekhona. Okwangoku, iSaudi Arabia, iRashiya neAlgeria zinengxelo ezintle, zizama ukuguqula ingqondo ye-bearish, impendulo elandelayo yemarike isabonakala, iphethini yokuqinisa unikezelo ayitshintshanga; Imfuno iyonke ayilunganga, kunzima ukuphucuka kakhulu kwixesha elifutshane, kwaye imfuno yeemveliso yeoyile ebusika kulindeleke ukuba ihlale iphantsi. Ukongeza, iSaudi Arabia yehlise amaxabiso asemthethweni okuthengisa kulo mmandla, ibonisa ukungabikho kokuzithemba kwimbonakalo yemfuno yaseAsia. Okwangoku, ixabiso leoyile lamazwe ngamazwe belisondele kwinqanaba eliphantsi lokuphela konyaka ngama-71.84 eedola zaseMelika/umgqomo emva kokuhla okuqhubekayo, inqaku eliphantsi leBrent likufutshane needola zaseMelika ezingama-72, izihlandlo ezihlanu ngaphambi kokuba unyaka ujikeleze eli nqanaba lokuphinda ubuye. Ke ngoko, amaxabiso eoyile ayaqhubeka nokwehla okanye ancitshiswe ngakumbi, kukho ithuba lokuphinda ubuye. Emva kokwehla okuqhubekayo kwamaxabiso eoyile, abavelisi beoyile babonakalise inkxaso kwimarike, kwaye i-OPEC+ ayizichasi iindlela ezintsha zokuzinzisa imarike, kwaye amaxabiso eoyile anokuba nokwenzeka ukuba ehle.