Isishwankathelo: Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sowama-2023, imakethi ye-phenol yasekhaya yenyuka yaza yehla, kwaye ixabiso beliqhutywa ikakhulu zizinto ezifunekayo kunye nokubonelela. Ixabiso elisezantsi liguquguquke malunga ne-6000-8000 yuan/ton, elalikwinqanaba eliphantsi kwiminyaka emihlanu edlulileyo. Ngokwezibalo zeLongzhong, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo le-phenol eMpuma China kwisiqingatha sokuqala sowama-2023 yayiyi-7,410 yuan/ton, yehla nge-3,319 yuan/ton, okanye i-30.93%, xa kuthelekiswa ne-10,729 yuan/ton kwisiqingatha sokuqala sowama-2022. Inqaku eliphezulu kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka yayiyi-8275 yuan/ton ngasekupheleni kukaFebruwari; Inqaku eliphantsi yayiyi-6200 yuan ngetoni ekuqaleni kukaJuni.

1. Uhlolo lweMarike

Iholide yoSuku loNyaka oMtsha ibuyele esixekweni, nangona isitokhwe seJiangyin phenol port siphantsi ukuya kwiitoni ezili-11,000, kodwa xa kujongwa impembelelo yezixhobo ezintsha zephenol ketone kwimveliso, ukuthengwa kweeterminal kuye kwehla, ukwehla kweemarike kwandisa ulinde ubone; Emva kokuba izixhobo ezintsha zifakwe kwimveliso ngaphantsi kokulindelweyo, indawo yayiqinile ukuvuselela imarike phezulu, njengoko iholide yeSpring Festival isondela, ukumelana nothutho phakathi kwemimandla kwanda, kwaye imarike yajika kancinci kancinci yaya kwimeko yokuvalwa. Emva kokubuyela kwimarike ngexesha leholide yeSpring Festival, i-phenol yamkele isiqalo esihle, ngokonyuka kwe-400-500 yuan/ton kwiintsuku ezimbini zokusebenza kuphela. Xa kujongwa ukubuyiselwa kweterminal emva kweholide, kuthatha ixesha ukuba imarike iyeke ukunyuka nokuhla, xa ixabiso liphantsi njenge-7700 yuan/ton, xa kujongwa ixabiso eliphezulu kunye nexabiso eliqhelekileyo, injongo yokuthumela yomthengisi wokuthumela ukufumana inzuzo iba buthathaka. NgoFebruwari, iiseti ezimbini zezixhobo ze-phenol ketone eLianyungang zisebenze kakuhle, ilungelo lokuthetha ngeemveliso zasekhaya kwimarike ye-phenol laphuculwa, kwaye ukusebenza kweenqanawa kunye nemithwalo engeniswe kwamanye amazwe kwachaphazeleka kukuxinwa kwe-terminal kunye nokuxinwa kwe-wax okubandakanyeka ekuthunyelweni kwababoneleli. Nangona ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kunye nokusebenza kwengxoxo ngexesha elifanayo kwaqala kwakhuthazwa, inkxaso yayincinci, kwaye imarike iyonke yanda ngakumbi kwaye yehla kancinci. NgoMatshi, ukuqala kwe-bisphenol A esezantsi kwehle, uxinzelelo lokhuphiswano lwasekhaya lwe-phenolic resin, ukwehla kwemfuno kwakhokelela ekwehleni kwe-phenol kwiindawo ezininzi, nangona iindleko eziphezulu kunye nexabiso eliqhelekileyo ngexesha lokuxhasa imakethi linyuke, kodwa intonga ephezulu ayilula, imakethi yokudinwa yadibana phakathi kwabo ngamaxesha athile.

Ukususela ngo-Epreli ukuya kuMeyi, izixhobo ze-phenol ketone zasekhaya zazisa ixesha lokugcinwa kwezinto, impembelelo yomdlalo wokubonelela kunye nokudibana kwemfuno, imakethi ngo-Epreli yayixubene, imeko-bume yangaphandle ngoMeyi yayibuthathaka, icala lemfuno lalicotha, ukuhlaziywa kwezixhobo kwakunzima ukukhululwa, umkhwa wokuhla okukhokelwa yimakethi, kwaye ixabiso eliphantsi laqhubeka nokuvelisa izinto ezintsha. Ngaphakathi kuJuni, umsebenzi wokubhida osezantsi wonyusa ukuthatha inxaxheba kweshishini, ukujikeleza kwendawo yasekhaya kwanda, uxinzelelo lokuthunyelwa kwempahla lwancipha, umdla wanda, kwaye ukuhlaziywa okufanelekileyo kwesitishi ngaphambi kweholide yeDragon Boat Festival, iziko lokuxhasa umxhuzulane landa kancinci. Emva kweDragon Boat Festival, umsebenzi wokubhida kwimakethi waphela okwethutyana, ukuthatha inxaxheba kushishino kwancipha, ukuthunyelwa kwicala lokubonelela kwancipha, ingqwalasela yabonisa umkhwa obuthathaka kancinci, kwaye urhwebo lwathula.

2. Uxinzelelo kwinzuzo nelahleko

Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2023, inzuzo ephakathi yeenkampani ze-phenol ketone yayiyi--356 yuan/ton, ukwehla kwe-138.83% ngonyaka, ixabiso eliphezulu lenzuzo emva kophakathi kukaMeyi yayiyi-217 yuan/ton, kwaye ixabiso eliphantsi yayiyi--1134.75 yuan/ton ekuqaleni kukaJuni. Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2023, inzuzo iyonke yezixhobo ze-phenol ketone zasekhaya incinci kakhulu, kwaye ixesha lenzuzo iyonke limalunga nenyanga e-1, kwaye inzuzo ayidluli kwi-300 yuan/ton. Nangona umkhwa wamaxabiso wezinto ezikrwada eziphindwe kabini kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2023 ungaphantsi kwexesha elifanayo ngo-2022, ixabiso le-phenol ketone nalo liyafana, libi kakhulu kunesiphelo sezinto ezikrwada, kwaye imeko yokulahleka kwenzuzo kunzima ukuyilula.

3. Imbonakalo yeMarike

Kwisiqingatha sesibini sowama-2023, phantsi kolindelo lokuba izixhobo ezintsha ze-phenol zasekhaya kunye ne-bisphenol A ezisezantsi ziya kuqaliswa ukusebenza, ipateni yokubonelela kunye nemfuno iya kuhlala ilawula, kwaye imakethi iya kutshintsha okanye iqheleke. Ichatshazelwa sisicwangciso semveliso yezixhobo ezintsha, ukhuphiswano phakathi kweempahla zasekhaya nezingeniswayo, iimpahla zasekhaya nezasekhaya ziya kuqina ngakumbi, imeko yokuqala kunye nokuma kwezixhobo ze-phenol ketone zasekhaya iyaguquguquka, kwaye imeko yokhuphiswano lokuthumela ngaphandle kunye nelasekhaya kwezinye iindawo ezisezantsi inokunciphisa, isantya semveliso entsha ye-bisphenol A kunye nokuqala kwezixhobo ezintsha nazo zibaluleke kakhulu, ewe, kwimeko yokulahlekelwa okuqhubekayo kumashishini e-phenol ketone. Iintshukumo zeendleko kunye namaxabiso nazo kufuneka zijongwe. Ukugweba ngokupheleleyo imeko eza kujongana nayo iziseko zokubonelela kunye nemfuno kunye nemeko yangoku yenzuzo kunye nelahleko, kulindeleke ukuba imakethi ye-phenol yasekhaya kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka kunzima ukuba nokusebenza okuphezulu kunye nokuhla okukhulu, kwaye uluhlu lokuguquguquka kwamaxabiso kulindeleke ukuba lube yi-6200-7500 yuan/ton.