Iimeko zemarike kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo azilingani, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ukungaqiniseki kwePP kuya kwanda kwisiqingatha sesibini sika-2021. Izinto ezixhasa amaxabiso kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka (njengemfuno enempilo ephantsi kunye nokunikezelwa kwehlabathi jikelele) kulindeleke. ukuqhubeka ukuya kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka. Kodwa impembelelo yabo inokuba buthathaka ngenxa yobunzima bezinto eziqhubekayo eYurophu, njengoko iUnited States ilungiselela ixesha lenkanyamba ezayo kunye nomthamo omtsha wemveliso e-Asia.

Ukongeza, umjikelo omtsha wosulelo olutsha lwesithsaba usasazeka e-Asiya, uphazamisa ulindelo lwabantu lokuphuculwa kwemfuno yePP kwingingqi kwixesha elizayo.

Ukungaqiniseki kobhubhani waseAsia kuyenyuka, kunqanda imfuno esezantsi

Kwisiqingatha sesibini salo nyaka, imakethi ye-PP yase-Asia yayixutywe, njengoko imfuno eqinile yonyango olusezantsi kunye nezicelo zokupakisha zinokulungiswa ngokunyuka kobonelelo, ukuqhambuka okutsha kwesibetho esitsha sesithsaba kunye neengxaki eziqhubekayo kwishishini lokuthumela i-container.

Ukusukela ngoJuni ukuya ekupheleni kuka-2021, malunga ne-7.04 yezigidi zeetoni / ngonyaka we-PP yomthamo wemveliso e-Asia nakuMbindi Mpuma kulindeleke ukuba isetyenziswe okanye iqalise kwakhona. Oku kuquka i-4.3 yezigidi zeetoni/ngonyaka umthamo kunye ne-2.74 yezigidi zeetoni/ngonyaka umthamo kweminye imimandla.

Kukho ukungaqiniseki kwinkqubela phambili yokwandiswa kweeprojekthi ezithile. Ukuthathela ingqalelo ukulibaziseka okunokwenzeka, impembelelo yezi projekthi ekuboneleleni kwikota yesine ka-2021 inokuhlehliswa ukuya ku-2022.

Imithombo yathi ngexesha lokunqongophala kwe-PP yehlabathi ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, abavelisi baseTshayina babonise ukuba nokwenzeka kokuthunyelwa kwePP, okwanceda ukwandisa amajelo okuthunyelwa ngaphandle kunye nokwandisa ukwamkelwa kwemarike ye-PP yaseTshayina ekhuphisanayo.

Nangona ukuvulwa kwexesha elide kweefestile ze-arbitrage zase-China ezifana noFebruwari ukuya ku-Epreli akuqhelekanga, njengoko isantya sokwandisa umthamo sikhula ngokukhawuleza, ababoneleli baseTshayina banokuqhubeka behlola amathuba okuthumela ngaphandle, ngakumbi kwiimveliso zepolymer ezilinganayo.

Nangona imfuno yonyango, ucoceko kunye nezicelo ezinxulumene nokupakishwa, ugonyo kunye nokuvuselelwa koqoqosho oluthile kuya kunceda ukuxhasa imfuno yePP, kukho umjikelo omtsha e-Asiya, ngakumbi iIndiya (iziko lesibini ngobukhulu bemfuno yelizwekazi) Emva kobhubhani, ukungaqiniseki. iya ikhula ngokukhula.

Ngokufika kwexesha lenkanyamba, ukunikezelwa kwePP kummandla we-US Gulf kuya kuhlala kunamandla

Kwisiqingatha sesibini se-2021, i-market ye-PP yase-US iya kufuneka ijongane nemiba ethile ebalulekileyo, kubandakanywa ukuphendula kwimfuno enempilo, ukunikezelwa okuqinileyo kunye nexesha elizayo lenkanyamba.

Abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike baya kujongana ne-8 cents / lb (US $ 176 / toni) ukunyuka kwexabiso elibhengezwe ngababoneleli ngoJuni. Ukongeza, ngenxa yokuphindaphinda amaxabiso e-monomer ekrwada, ixabiso lingaqhubeka nokunyuka.

Ukunyuka kokunikezelwa kulindeleke ukuba kuhlangabezane nemfuno eqinile yasekhaya ye-resin, okwenza ukuhanjiswa kwamanye amazwe kube buthathaka ngaphambi kowama-2021. Imarike iqikelela ukuba njengoko izinga lokusebenza libuyela kwisiqhelo ngoJuni, amaxabiso aya kuwela phantsi koxinzelelo, kodwa njengoko amaxabiso enyuka kwikota yesibini. , le mvakalelo iya kuba buthathaka.

Ixabiso loluhlu lwe-Platts FAS Houston linyuke nge-US $ 783 / toni ukususela ngo-4 kaJanuwari, ukwanda kwe-53%. Ngelo xesha, kwakuqikelelwa kwi-US $ 1466 / toni, njengoko isivunguvungu sasebusika kwindawo sivala izityalo ezininzi zokuvelisa, ngakumbi ukunyusa imeko yokubonelela ngeTight. Idatha ye-Platts ibonisa ukuba ixabiso lifikelele kwirekhodi eliphezulu le-US $ 2,734 / toni ngo-Matshi 10.

Ngaphambi kobusika obubandayo, imboni yePP iye yachatshazelwa ziziphepho ezimbini ngo-Agasti no-Oktobha 2020. Ezi ziqhwithi zimbini zichaphazele iifektri kunye nokunciphisa imveliso. Abathathi-nxaxheba beemarike banokuqwalasela ngokukhawuleza imeko yemveliso kwi-US Gulf, ngelixa ilawula ngononophelo uluhlu lwempahla ukuphepha ukuncitshiswa okungaphezulu kokubonelela.

Ixesha lenkanyamba lase-US liqala ngoJuni 1 kwaye liya kuhlala kude kube nguNovemba 30.

Kukho ukungaqiniseki kubonelelo lwaseYurophu ngenxa yokuba ukungenisa elizweni kucelwa umngeni kukunqongophala kwemigqomo yehlabathi

Ngenxa yokunqongophala kwehlabathi lee-container ezithintela ukuthengiswa kwe-Asia, kulindeleke ukuba ukunikezelwa kwePP eYurophu kuya kujongana nezinto ezingathandekiyo. Nangona kunjalo, ngokukhuthazwa ngempumelelo kwezitofu zokugonya kwilizwekazi lase-Afrika, ukususwa kwezithintelo ezinxulumene nobhubhane kunye notshintsho kwindlela yokuziphatha yabathengi, iimfuno ezintsha zinokuvela.

Imiyalelo ye-PP enempilo kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021 yenze amaxabiso abetha irekhodi eliphezulu. Ngenxa yokunqongophala kokubonelela, ixabiso lendawo ye-PP homopolymers kuMntla-ntshona weYurophu inyuke nge-83%, yafikelela kwincopho ye-1960 euro / toni ngo-Epreli. Abathathi-nxaxheba beMakethi bavumile ukuba amaxabiso e-PP kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka anokuthi afikelele kumda ophezulu kwaye anokuhlaziywa ukuhla kwixesha elizayo.

Umvelisi uthe: "Ngokwembono yamaxabiso, intengiso ifikelele encotsheni, kodwa andicingi ukuba kuya kubakho ukwehla okukhulu kwemfuno okanye amaxabiso."

Ngokubhekiselele kulo nyaka uphela, imakethi yePP yaseYurophu iya kufuna umlinganiselo wokulungisa ukunqongophala kweekhonteyina zehlabathi, okubangele ukulibaziseka kwekhonkco lokubonelela kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka kunye neendleko ezongezelelweyo zolungiselelo lokugcina imakethi ilungelelene.

Abavelisi kunye nabaqhubekekisi baya kusebenzisa ixesha elizolileyo lasehlotyeni ukunyusa amanqanaba e-inventri kwaye balungiselele ukuphindaphinda okulindelweyo kwimfuno kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka.

Ukuphumla kwezithintelo zebhlokhi eYurophu kulindeleke ukuba kufake imfuno entsha kuzo zonke iindawo zomzi mveliso wenkonzo, kwaye ukunyuka kwemfuno yokupakisha kunokuqhubeka. Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yokungaqiniseki kobungakanani bokuthengiswa kweemoto zaseYurophu, imbonakalo yemfuno yoshishino lweemoto ayicacanga.