Ngo-2023, imakethi ye-phosphorus yasekhaya ye-yellow yawa kuqala yaze yenyuka, kwaye ixabiso lendawo laliphezulu kakhulu kule minyaka mihlanu idlulileyo, ngexabiso eliphakathi kwama-25,158 yuan/toni ukusuka ngoJanuwari ukuya kuSeptemba, wehle nge-25.31% xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo. (33,682 yuan/toni); Elona nqanaba lisezantsi lonyaka laliyi-18,500 yuan/toni phakathi kuMeyi, kwaye indawo ephezulu yayiyi-31,500 yuan/toni ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari.

Ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuSeptemba, ixabiso lemarike ye-phosphorus etyheli liqhutywa yinguqu eqhubekayo phakathi kwengcinga yeendleko kunye nengqiqo yokubonelela kunye nemfuno. Xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo ngo-2022, iindleko kunye nemfuno ye-phosphorus ephuzi zimbini kwaye zimbi, ixabiso le-phosphorus ephuzi liwile, kwaye umda wenzuzo uncitshiswe kakhulu. Ngokukodwa, ixabiso le-phosphorus ephuzi kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya phakathi koMeyi ikakhulu lawa; Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, imarike yemfuno yasekhaya icinezelekile, amanye amashishini asezantsi aneempahla eziphezulu, amashishini ane-bearish, intshiseko yokuthengwa kwe-phosphorus etyheli ayikho phezulu, kwaye ukubuyiswa kwamashishini e-phosphorus etyheli kukhawuleza kakhulu kunokubuyisela. imfuno, kukho imeko yokugqithiswa, abavelisi be-phosphorus abatyheli baphantsi koxinzelelo, kwaye i-inventory yeshishini ikhula ngokuthe ngcembe. Superimposed izinto ezikrwada ekrwada phosphate ore, coke, electrode graphite kunye namanye amaxabiso ehla, wangena kwixesha emanzi emva kokuthotywa kwexabiso lombane, iindleko thethwano ngexabiso elibi, okukhokelela ekugxilweni kwexabiso phosphorus emthubi iyaqhubeka ukuhla, umda wenzuzo yoshishino uncitshiswe kakhulu. . Ekupheleni kukaMeyi, ixabiso lawela kwinqanaba eliphantsi kwaye laqala ukuphinda libuyele ngokukhawuleza, ngenxa yokuba ixabiso le-phosphorus ephuzi laqhubeka lihla, amanye amashishini axabisa phezulu, akhetha ukuyeka imveliso kunye nokunciphisa imveliso, imveliso ye-phosphorus etyheli yancitshiswa kakhulu. , ukuqhuba ukusetyenziswa kwe-inventory ye-yellow phosphorus industry, kunye namashishini anda ukuzithemba kumaxabiso. Icala leendleko liyekile ukuwa kunye nokuzinza, ezinye izinto eziluhlaza zineendlela zokubuyela kwakhona, icala leendleko liye landa inkxaso, ezinye ii-odolo zemfuno zangaphandle ezifana ne-glyphosate zinyukile, umda wenzuzo yamashishini mkhulu, umthwalo wokuqalisa uphezulu. , kunye nemfuno ye-yellow phosphorus market izinzile, eyenza i-yellow phosphorus market kwi-tight state of supply, kwaye ixabiso liye lajika ukuqhubeka nokunyuka. Ngokunyuka ngokuthe ngcembe kwamashishini, i-inventory ye-yellow phosphorus iyaqhubeka iqokelela, ukunikezelwa kwemarike ye-yellow phosphorus yangoku yanele, imfuno ephantsi yomlambo ibuthathaka, ukugqithiswa kukhokelela kumaxabiso aphezulu kunzima ukuwagcina, kunzima ukunyuka kakhulu kwixesha elifutshane.

Izizathu eziphambili zokuthambekela kweemarike ze-phosphorus eziphuzi ukususela ngoJanuwari ukuya kuSeptemba zezi: umdlalo oqhelekileyo phakathi komlambo kunye nokwehla okubangelwa ukungalingani kokubonelela kunye nemfuno, ukunyuka kwexabiso lezinto eziluhlaza, kunye nokutshintsha komgaqo-nkqubo.

Kulindeleke ukuba ixabiso lemarike ye-yellow phosphorus kwikota yesine iya kuqhubeka iguquguquka, kwaye ngo-Oktobha, amashishini e-yellow phosphorus aya kulinda aze abone imarike, kodwa imfuno ibuthathaka, okanye kusekho ithuba lokuhla. Umlinganiselo wamandla olandelayo eYunnan usalindeleke ukuba unyuke, kwaye ixabiso lombane kwixesha elomileyo liya kunyuka, kwaye iindleko ziya kuxhasa imarike ye-phosphorus ephuzi. Icala lemfuno liyaqhubeka nokuba buthathaka, kwaye i-fosphoric acid esezantsi, i-phosphorus trichloride kunye neemarike ze-glyphosate ziyabanda, kwaye akukho nkxaso evumayo eyomeleleyo yemfuno.