Kwikota yokuqala neyesibini, indlela yokuthengisa i-bisphenol A yasekhaya ibuthathaka, ngoJuni yehla yaya kwixabiso elitsha eliphantsi leminyaka emihlanu le-8700 yuan/ton, kodwa kwikota yesithathu, i-bisphenol A yazisa ukunyuka okuqhubekayo kwixesha eliphambili, ixabiso lemarike nalo lenyuka laya kwinqanaba eliphezulu langoku le-12,050 yuan/ton kulo nyaka. Nangona kunjalo, amaxabiso anyuke afikelela kwinqanaba eliphezulu, imfuno esezantsi yalandela yaza yabuthathaka, kwaye imakethi yangena kwakhona kwinqanaba lokurhoxa kwe-shock.

Ukusukela ekupheleni kukaSeptemba ka-2023, ixabiso eliphambili elixoxiswanayo lemarike ye-bisphenol A yaseMpuma China limalunga ne-11,500 yuan/ton, linyuke nge-2,300 yuan/ton ukususela ekuqaleni kukaJulayi, ukunyuka kwe-25%; Ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lemarike kwikota yesithathu yayiyi-10,763 yuan/ton, linyuke nge-13.93% ukusuka kwikota edlulileyo kwaye lehle nge-16.54% ukusuka kwixesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.

Inqanaba lokuqala – ngoJulayi: imakethi ye-bisphenol A ibonakalisa uhlobo lwe-“N”.

Ekuqaleni kukaJulayi, emva kokususwa rhoqo kwezitokhwe kwinqanaba lokuqala, ubungakanani bezixhobo zokujikeleza kwe-bisphenol A spot babungekho bukhulu, abavelisi kunye nabathengisi baxhasa ngenkuthalo imakethi, kwaye eminye imibuzo ye-PC downstream kunye nabathengisi yayikukuphinda kuzaliswe, nto leyo eyakhuthaza imakethi ye-bisphenol A ukusuka kwi-9200 yuan/ton ngokukhawuleza ukuya kwi-10,000 yuan/ton, apho ifandesi ye-Zhejiang Petrochemical multi-round yanda kakhulu, kodwa yafaka nefuthe kwimakethi. Ixabiso eliphakathi liphezulu, inqanaba elisezantsi lokuzalisa emva kokugaya, umoya wokurhweba ngemakethi ye-bisphenol A uye waba buthathaka. Kwisiqingatha sokugqibela sonyaka, abanini be-bisphenol A bafumana inzuzo, kunye nokuhla koxinzelelo olusezantsi, intengiselwano ye-bisphenol A spot ayigudi, abanye abathengisi kunye nabavelisi ukuze benze inzuzo yokuthumela, iingxoxo zaseMpuma China zehla zaya kwi-9600-9700 yuan/ton. Kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, izinto ezimbini ezikrwada ze-phenol acetone zenyuka kakhulu, zinyanzela ixabiso le-bisphenol A ukuba linyuke, kwaye uxinzelelo lweendleko zabavelisi lwanda, kwaye ixabiso laqala ukunyuka ngasekupheleni kwenyanga, kwaye i-bisphenol A yalandela ukunyuka kweendleko.

Isigaba sesiBini – Ekuqaleni kuka-Agasti – Phakathi ukuya ekupheleni kukaSeptemba: Imakethi ye-bisphenol A iyaqhubeka nokuchacha kwinqanaba eliphezulu ukuza kuthi ga ngoku kulo nyaka.

Ekuqaleni kuka-Agasti, iqhutywa kukunyuka okukhulu kwe-phenol kunye ne-acetone, ixabiso lemarike le-bisphenol A laliqinile kwaye liphezulu, kwaye izixhobo ze-bisphenol A zazigcinwa zigcinwe ngexesha lesigaba, izixhobo zeNantong Star, Huizhou Zhongxin, Luxi Chemical, Jiangsu Ruiheng, Wanhua Chemical kunye neZhejiang Petrochemical phase II zonke zamiswa ngo-Agasti, kwaye ukunikezelwa kwemarike kwehle; Kwaye kwabonwa uluhlu lwangaphambili, ukwehla komlambo kufuneka nje kuzalise isantya sokulandelela kulungile. Iindleko, ukunikezelwa kunye nemfuno ye-superposition elungileyo, ukunyuka kwenkampani yemarike ye-bisphenol A; Ukungena ngoSeptemba, ukusebenza kweoyile ekrwada yamazwe ngamazwe kunamandla, kukhokelwa yi-benzene ecocekileyo, i-phenol acetone iyaqhubeka nokunyuka, inqanawa ekhulayo ye-bisphenol A, izibonelelo zabavelisi ziyaqhubeka nokunyuka, kwaye ukunikezelwa kwendawo yemarike kuncinci, imfuno yesitokhwe seNational Day esezantsi kufuneka ilandelwe, phakathi kuSeptemba, ixabiso lemarike lenyuke laya kwinqanaba eliphezulu langoku kulo nyaka yi-12,050 yuan/ton.

Inqanaba lesithathu – phakathi ukuya ekupheleni kukaSeptemba – ukuphela kwenyanga: inqanaba eliphezulu lemarike ye-bisphenol A liye lehla.

Phakathi nasekupheleni kukaSeptemba, njengoko ixabiso linyuka ukuya kwinqanaba eliphezulu, isantya sokuthenga esisezantsi siye sehla, kuphela intsimbi encinci ekufuneka izaliswe ngexabiso elifanelekileyo, kwaye urhwebo lwemarike luye lwaba buthathaka; Izinto eziluhlaza ezifana ne-phenol acetone ziyawa kakhulu, inkxaso yeendleko ze-bisphenol A ibuthathaka, abathengi kunye nabathengisi balinde baze babone iimvakalelo, ukuthengiswa kwakhona kwemarike kuyalumka, isitokhwe esiphindwe kabini singaphantsi kunesilindelweyo, ngokufika koMnyhadala weMid-Autumn kunye neholide yeSizwe kabini, enye yengcinga yokuthunyelwa kwempahla icacile ngakumbi, ukuhanjiswa kwenzuzo enye yokwenyani, ekupheleni kwenyanga, ingqwalasela yengxoxo zemarike yehla yaya kwi-11500-11600 yuan/ton.

Sijonge phambili kwikota yesine, ngokwexabiso, i-phenol acetone yezinto eziluhlaza kulindeleke ukuba yehle, kodwa xa kujongwa ixabiso eliphakathi lesivumelwano kunye nomgca weendleko, kulindeleke ukuba indawo yokwehla incitshisiwe, kwaye inkxaso yeendleko ze-bisphenol A incitshisiwe; Ngokuphathelele ukubonelela kunye nemfuno, iChangchun Chemical ilungisiwe ukusukela nge-9 ka-Okthobha, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba iphele ekuqaleni kukaNovemba, iSouth Asia Plastics kunye neZhejiang Petrochemical zinezicwangciso zokulungisa ngoNovemba, izixhobo ngazinye zinezicwangciso zokulungisa iimoto ekupheleni kuka-Okthobha, kwaye ezinye izixhobo azinazicwangciso zokulungisa ezicacileyo. Ngokubanzi, kukho ukulahleka kwe-A ye-bisphenol A kwikota yesine, kodwa kwangaxeshanye, Ekuqaleni kuka-Okthobha, ukusebenza kwesityalo seJiangsu Ruiheng phase II bisphenol A kuzinziswe kancinci kancinci, iQingdao Bay, iHengli Petrochemical, iLongjiang Chemical kunye nezinye iiseti zezixhobo ezintsha zicwangciselwe ukuqaliswa ukusebenza kwikota yesine, xa amandla emveliso kunye nemveliso ye-bisphenol A iya kuba yimali enkulu, kwaye ukubuyiselwa okubuthathaka kwecala lemfuno yemarike kuqhubeka kunzima ukususa imiqobo, ukuphikisana phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno kuya kukhula. Ngokuphathelele indlela yokucinga yemarike, ukungabikho kwenkxaso yeendleko, ukubonelela kunye nokusebenza kwemfuno kuncinci, kwaye kwiminyaka yakutshanje, imakethi ye-bisphenol A iye yehla kancinci, kwaye imboni ayinalo ukuzithemba kwimakethi yexesha elizayo, kwaye urhwebo lulumkile kwaye lulinde kwaye lubone, nto leyo ethintela isantya sokuthenga esisezantsi ukuya kwinqanaba elithile.

Ngamafutshane, ikota yesine yemarike ye-bisphenol A kunzima ukuyifumana ilungile, kulindeleke ukuba ibe nokwehla okukhulu kwamaxabiso emarike xa kuthelekiswa nekota yesithathu, inkqubela phambili yemveliso yezixhobo ezintsha, ukunyuka nokuhla kwezinto eziluhlaza, imeko yokulandelela imfuno ephantsi yeyona nto iphambili kwimarike.