Ngomhla we-17 kaNovemba ka-2020, i-parity esembindini yereyithi yokutshintshiselana kwe-RMB kwimarike yotshintshiselwano lwebhanki yangaphandle yayiyi: 1 idola yaseMelika ukuya kwi-RMB 6.5762, ukunyuka kwamanqaku angama-286 ukusuka kusuku lwangaphambili lokuthengisa, ukufikelela kwi-6.5 yuan.Ukongeza, amaxabiso otshintshiselwano lwe-RMB elunxwemeni nakwi-offshore ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika zombini zinyuke zaya kutsho kwi-6.5 yuan era.

Lo myalezo awuthunyelwanga izolo kuba i-6.5 enokwenzeka ikwangumntu odlulayo.Phantsi kobhubhani, uqoqosho lwaseTshayina lomelele, kwaye kuqinisekile ukuba i-RMB iya kuqhubeka isomelela.

Dlulisela phambili uluvo oluvela kwingcaphephe:

Ngaba izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB ngokubhekiselele kwi-dollar yase-US luya kunyuka kwixesha le-6.5?

Amazwi Osapho

Kulindeleke ukuba i-trend of appreciation ye-RMB ayiyi kutshintsha, kodwa izinga lokuxabisa liya kuwa.

Ngokutsho kweendaba ezikhutshwe yi-China Foreign Exchange Trading Centre: Ngomhla we-17 kuNovemba, i-parity esembindini yezinga lokutshintshiselana kwe-RMB kwimarike yotshintshiselwano lwebhanki yangaphandle yayiyi-dollar eyi-1 ukuya kwi-RMB 6.5762, ukunyuka kwamanqaku angama-286 ukusuka kwixesha elidlulileyo. usuku lokurhweba ukuya kwixesha le-yuan eyi-6.5.Ukongeza, amaxabiso otshintshiselwano lwe-RMB elunxwemeni nakwi-offshore ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika zombini zinyuke zaya kutsho kwi-6.5 yuan era.Okulandelayo, ngaba izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB luya kuqhubeka nokunyuka?

Izinga lokutshintshiselana kwe-renminbi liye laphakama kwixesha le-6.5, kwaye kufuneka libe yinto enokwenzeka kakhulu yokugcina ukunyusa ukunyuka kwinqanaba elilandelayo.Kukho izizathu ezine.

Okokuqala, iqondo lentengiso yezinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB liye lenyuka ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye izinto zokungenelela kwabantu kwisebe lolawulo lwangaphandle lwebhanki ephakathi ziye zapheliswa.Ekupheleni kuka-Okthobha kulo nyaka, unobhala wemalike yotshintshiselwano lwamazwe angaphandle ukuzeyisa ibhengeze ukuba ibhanki yekoteyishini yexabiso eliphakathi le-RMB ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika, ngokusekwe kwizigwebo zayo kwiziseko zoqoqosho kunye neemeko zentengiso. ithathe inyathelo lokuqala lokulungisa “inguqu” kwimodeli yexabiso elilinganayo leRMB ngokuchasene nedola yaseMelika.I-Cycle factor" iyacima ukuba isetyenziswe.Oku kuthetha ukuba elona nyathelo libalulekileyo lithathiweyo ekuthengisweni kwezinga leRMB.Kwixesha elizayo, ukuba nokwenzeka kokuguquguquka kweendlela ezimbini kwireyithi yeRMB iya kwanda.Ngokusisiseko akukho zithintelo ezenziweyo zoxabiso oluqhubekayo lwe-RMB.Oku kudala iimeko ezifanelekileyo zokuxabisa okuqhubekayo kwe-RMB.

Okwesibini, i-China ngokusisiseko iyisusile impembelelo embi yesibetho esitsha sesithsaba, kwaye umfutho wayo wophuhliso loqoqosho ukwindawo yesibini kwihlabathi.Ngokuchasene noko, ukuchacha koqoqosho lwamazwe aseYurophu naseMelika kuhamba kancinci, ngakumbi imeko yase-United States isenzima kakhulu, nto leyo eyenza ukuba idola iqhubeke.Ukushukuma kumjelo obuthathaka.Ngokucacileyo, ngenxa yenkxaso yezoqoqosho yaseTshayina esisiseko, izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB liya kuqhubeka nokunyuka.

Okwesithathu, enye into eye yadlala indima ekunyuseni izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-renminbi yi-symposium eququzelelwe ngokudibeneyo yiBhanki ePhakamileyo kunye neKomishoni yoLawulo lwee-Asethi kunye noLawulo lwe-State-owned ngoNovemba 12 ngomxholo othi "ukuququzelela urhwebo kunye norhwebo. utyalo-mali ngamashishini asebenzisa irenminbi ukuwela imida”.Uluhlu lweempawu ezintle: Ibhanki ephakathi ichaze ukuba iqulunqe ngokudibeneyo "Isaziso sokuPhucula imiGaqo-nkqubo ye-RMB ye-Cross-border ukuxhasa ukuzinzisa uRhwebo lwaNgaphandle kunye noTyalo-mali lwaNgaphandle" kunye neKomishoni yoPhuhliso kunye noHlengahlengiso, uMphathiswa wezoRhwebo, kunye ne-SASAC.Amaxwebhu epolisi aza kukhutshwa kungekudala.Oku kuthetha ukuba imakethi yezemali yelizwe lam iya kuvulwa ngakumbi kumazwe angaphandle, kwaye imarike yeRMB engaphesheya nayo iya kuphuhliswa ngamandla.Iza kukhuthaza nokuvulwa kwemarike yemali ye-RMB elunxwemeni kwaye inyuse umthamo kunye nobunzulu bemalike yemali ye-RMB ekude nonxweme.Ngokukodwa, iya kuqhubeka nokubambelela ekukhethweni kweemarike kunye nokuzimela ngokuzimeleyo kwamashishini, ukuqhubeka nokwandisa indawo yomgaqo-nkqubo wokusetyenziswa kwe-RMB ye-cross-border, kunye nokuphucula ukusebenza kakuhle kwe-RMB ye-cross-border kunye ne-offshore clearing.Okwangoku, iqhutywa yimfuno yemarike, ukusetyenziswa kwe-renminbi kumazwe ngamazwe kuye kwenza inkqubela ebonakalayo.I-renminbi sele iyimali yentlawulo yesibini enkulu yaseTshayina enqumla imida.Iirisithi ezinqamlezileyo kunye neentlawulo ze-akhawunti ye-renminbi ngaphezu kwesinye kwisithathu seerisithi ezinqamlezileyo zaseTshayina kunye neentlawulo zemali zasekhaya nezangaphandle.I-RMB izibandakanye nebhaskithi yemali ye-SDR kwaye iye yaba yimali yesihlanu enkulu yehlabathi yentlawulo yemali kunye nemali esemthethweni enguvimba wotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle.

Okwesine, kwaye okona kubaluleke kakhulu, ngoNovemba 15, amazwe alishumi ase-ASEAN kunye namazwe angama-15 aquka iChina, iJapan, iSouth Korea, i-Australia kunye neNew Zealand ngokusemthethweni isayinwe i-RCEP, ephawula ukugqitywa ngokusemthethweni kwesivumelwano esikhulu sorhwebo samahhala.Oku akuyi kukhuthaza kuphela ukwakhiwa koLuntu lwezoQoqosho lwase-ASEAN, kodwa luya kongeza isantya esitsha kuphuhliso lwengingqi kunye nokuchuma, kwaye luya kuba yinjini ebalulekileyo yokukhula kwehlabathi.Ngokukodwa, i-China, njengelizwe lesibini ngobukhulu kwezoqoqosho, ngokungathandabuzekiyo iya kuba ngundoqo we-RCEP, eya kuba nefuthe elinamandla kutshintshiselwano lwezoqoqosho kunye norhwebo lwamazwe e-RCEP kwaye luzuze amazwe athatha inxaxheba.Kwangaxeshanye, ikwavumela i-RMB ukuba idlale indima ebaluleke ngakumbi ekuhlalisweni kwezorhwebo kunye nentlawulo yamazwe athatha inxaxheba e-RCEP, eya kuzisa iinzuzo ezininzi ekukhuthazeni ukwanda kwe-China yokungenisa kunye norhwebo lokuthumela ngaphandle, ukutsala amazwe e-RCEP ukuba atyale imali kuwo. I-China, kunye nokwandisa imfuno ye-RMB evela kumazwe e-RCEP.Esi siphumo siya kunika ukonyuswa okuthile kwindlela eqhubekayo yokunyuka kwezinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-RMB.

Ngamafutshane, nangona izinga lotshintshiselwano lwe-renminbi liye langena kwixesha le-6.5, ngokuqwalasela amathuba okurhweba ngaphandle kunye nokuthumela ngaphandle kunye nemiba yomgaqo-nkqubo, kusekho indawo yokuxabisa okulandelayo kwereyithi yerenminbi.Kulindeleke ukuba umkhwa wokuxabisa i-renminbi awuyi kutshintsha, kodwa izinga lokuxabisa liya kuncipha;ngakumbi ubhubhani wehlabathi Ngokuchasene nemvelaphi yokuphindaphinda kunye nokuziva umngcipheko ongathintekiyo, kulindelekile ukuba i-RMB iya kugcina intsingiselo ezinzileyo neyomeleleyo phantsi kwenkxaso yeenzuzo zayo ezisisiseko.