Imakethi ye-urea yamva nje inokuchazwa njengokunyuka ngokuqhubekayo, imeko yentengiso phantsi kwesikhokelo sokunyuka komphezulu weendaba kunye nokuwa ngokukhawuleza okukhulu, apho eyona ndlela ibonakalayo yokusabela kukuphawula. Ukuqhuba komyalezo woshicilelo akuchaphazeli ngokuthe ngqo kuphela ixabiso lemarike langoku, kodwa kungene nakwinqanaba lonikezelo lwangaphakathi kunye nemfuno kwixesha elizayo. Ukusukela nge-15 ka-Agasti, ixabiso lemakethi yaseShandong Linyi kwi-2550 yuan/ton, imarike ye-urea emva kokufumana intsingiselo yamaza, ngokuthe ngcembe inyuke yaya kumgangatho ophezulu kwisiqingatha senyanga, kwaye ukonyuka nokuwa okuphezulu kwisiqingatha senyanga kumalunga nama-200. yuan/toni, impembelelo yecala leemvakalelo imisela ukuguquguquka kwe-urea kunyukile umkhwa, imarike kufuneka ihambisane nokuguquguquka kwemozulu, Isebenza njani indawo yeendaba kwimarike?

Ngokunyuka komdlalo weendaba zentengiso, icala leemvakalelo lithatha ubunzima obuninzi nangakumbi kwimpembelelo yemarike, kwaye awona mandla acacileyo kukugwetywa kwemvakalelo kwikamva lemarike. Xa iindaba zivuthwa ngokuthe ngcembe, isimo sengqondo sinethemba malunga nemarike yexesha elizayo, kwaye impendulo yangaphakathi yecala lokubonelela kunye nemfuno iya kuba buthathaka, kwaye ukuhanjiswa komyalezo wokumakisha yeyona ndlela isebenzayo.

Impembelelo yoshicilelo:

I-Indiya ngumthengisi obalulekileyo we-urea e-China, kwaye inani lokuthunyelwa kwe-India libalelwa malunga ne-50% yomthamo wasekhaya wokuthumela ngaphandle. Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-2022 yonyaka yokuthumela ngaphandle, inani elipheleleyo lokuthumela ngaphandle ngo-2022 limalunga ne-2.83 yezigidi zeetoni, apho eyokuqala iseyi-Indiya, umthamo wokuthumela ngaphandle yi-1.23 yezigidi zeetoni ezingama-900, ibalwa kwi-43.80% yomthamo opheleleyo wokuthumela ngaphandle. Kukho iindidi ezimbini zokuthengwa kwempahla eIndiya: ukuthengwa kwethenda yehlabathi kunye nokuthengwa kwesivumelwano sexesha elide. Phakathi kwazo, ibhidi yehlabathi kunye nokuthengwa kwempahla yeyona nto ibalulekileyo kuthi. Isizathu sokuba impembelelo yebhidi iqhube ngo-Agasti noSeptemba ngenxa yokusasazeka ngokuqhubekayo kwamahemuhemu emarike ukuvulwa kweebhidi e-Indiya, kwaye emva koko kwiindaba zemarike, kwaye ekugqibeleni ukuya kumhla wokugqibela wokuthunyelwa. Yonke le nkqubo iya kukhatshwa kukuhanjiswa kweendaba ngokuqhubekayo, kwaye kwimakethi yangoku yasekhaya ngaphandle kwexesha lonyaka, ukubonakala kophawu kumbono weshishini kuye kwaphawulwa njengento elungileyo, ngoko ke ukusabela kwimarike kuya kulandela. utshintsho lweendaba zamanqaku.

Indima ethile yolu shicilelo, enye ibonakaliswe kwixabiso, i-India IPL urea import biding, ifumene inani lababoneleli be-23, inani le-3.382,500 yeetoni. Elona xabiso lisezantsi kuNxweme lwaseMpuma yiCFR396 USD/toni, kwaye elona xabiso liphantsi kunxweme oluseNtshona yiCFR399 USD/toni. Ukufika kwexabiso kunokuchaphazela ngokuthe ngqo ubungakanani bendawo ye-arbitrage ekhaya nakwamanye amazwe, kwaye ixabiso langoku loshicilelo lwe-docking kunye nexabiso lomzi-mveliso wasekhaya kukho indawo yokuthumela ngaphandle, kodwa ngaphambi kokufika kwexabiso, ushishino lwexabiso lokushicilela ixabiso elilindelekileyo liphezulu kakhulu, uninzi lwentelekelelo yafikelela kwi-400 yeedola zase-US / itoni ye-FOB, ke xa iibhutsi zifika, ixabiso ngokuthe ngcembe libuyele kwinqanaba lengqiqo, ishishini elinokwenyuka kokuhla, Ixabiso lentelekelelo yemarike yexesha elizayo lenziwe buthathaka. , kunye noluvo lwemarike yehla, kwaye amaxabiso e-urea nawo abonisa umjikelo omncinci wokwehla kwenqanawa ngeli xesha. Eyesibini yintsebenzo kwinani, kwaye ixabiso liyafana, ngaphambi kokufika kweendaba, sigcina ingqondo engcono, kwaye iindaba ezixhaphakileyo kumashishini amahemuhemu okubonelela nge-China inokufikelela kwi-1.1 yezigidi zeetoni, iindaba zakhokelela izolo. ikamva lokunyuka kade, kwaye eyona ngxelo ibonakalayo yenani loshicilelo lubonelelo lwangaphakathi kunye nemfuno, kunikezelo lwangaphakathi lwangoku lweNissan, Ukonyuka kwenani lokumakisha ngokuqinisekileyo kuya kulibazisa ukuhanjiswa koxinzelelo kwicala lonikezelo lwabavelisi bangoku. , kunye namaxabiso asekhaya aya kungenisa amanqaku amatsha enkxaso, kwaye abavelisi baye baphakamisa izibonelelo zabo.

Nangona iindaba zokumakisha zinika imakethi ukonyuswa okuthile kwicala leemvakalelo, umngcipheko awunakuhoywa. Okokuqala, unikezelo lwamazwe ngamazwe luya kujongana nokwenzeka kokunyuka emva kokuphela kweshedyuli yokumakisha ukuthumela, kwaye ukuguquguquka kwamaxabiso ngamazwe ngamazwe akwaziwa. Okwesibini, umthamo omtsha wemveliso yasekhaya uya kufakwa kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka. Kurhwebo lwangaphakathi, uxinzelelo kwicala lokubonelela luvela ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye inkxaso yokuthumela ngaphandle inokudityaniswa ngokutyibilikayo kunye nezolimo zengqolowa yasekwindla. Yinto ebalulekileyo ukugxila kuyo. Okwesithathu, ifuthe leemeko ezibalulekileyo ezifana nemigaqo-nkqubo yesizwe ayikamiselwa, kwaye izinto ezifana nexesha lokuhlolwa ngokusemthethweni kunye nomthamo wokuthunyelwa kwezibuko zasekhaya nazo kufuneka ziphaphe.

Ngokubanzi, imarike ixhaswa yimpembelelo yoshicilelo kunye nezinye ixesha elifutshane, kwaye ixabiso lisenalo igumbi eliphezulu lokuqhuba, kodwa umngcipheko wemarike wexesha elizayo uhlala uhleli, kwaye kuyimfuneko ukunikela ingqalelo ngononophelo ekuguquguqukeni kwendawo yeendaba. .